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  • A cursory search found this - request the paper from the authors and see if it helps answer the question researchgate.net/publication/… Commented Oct 15, 2024 at 12:46
  • @SPavel: thank you, I requested, though the author does not have an RG account, and that seems to be a bit hard to track down... Also, I'm more interested in how this influenced German thinking for Barbarossa, not all that much about the 1939 pact (which was concluded on August 23, when the battle had just started on August 20). Commented Oct 15, 2024 at 12:51
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    It's not perfect but as far as I can tell it may be the best you'll get. The fighting had been escalating over a period of months. The Germans would have already received reports that the Soviet army did not simply roll over, which itself would have impacted their calculus. And they would have already been planning an invasion of the USSR at that point. Of course, the dismal Winter War performance later on would have been much more influential. Commented Oct 15, 2024 at 13:41
  • Given the German-Soviet military cooperation through the 1920s, when the German army was developing its tactics, it would not surprise me if German thinking was more along the lines of "we have the right idea (large envelopment) and are far better equipped than the Soviets so we can do it to them." Commented Oct 16, 2024 at 13:32
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    IIRC correctly, in Tank Warfare Eastern Front Vol 1, Forczyk states that German generals were well aware of previous wars with Russia. But their sad story was Napoleon 1812 and their happy story was the Finland Winter War. I don't think anyone thought much about Khalkin Go at all, at the opposite end of the continent. If they had, they'd probably have focused on how unsuited the Japanese Army was to open terrain warfare against a mechanized opponent and how little risk Soviet tanks would be to German Commented Oct 16, 2024 at 18:08