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    A good summary of the most recent studies. I suspect, though, you understate the influence of researchers' prior beliefs on the results. And the difference between the raw observations (which clearly show that those drinking moderately have significantly lower mortality than non-drinkers) and complex models of risk which in this case obfuscate that relationship (but may reflect modelling assumptions more than direct observations). Commented Aug 25, 2018 at 16:03
  • @matt_black Oh. Really "understate"? I was already worried that the language might read as to be too crass here. If you want to sharpen that edge, please edit to your heart's content, as I agree completely. Commented Aug 25, 2018 at 16:15
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    You might be right: I'm very sensitive to policy bias. I've read enough of the evidence and policy relating to public health policy in the UK (on recommended consumption levels and minimal pricing) to have become very cynical indeed. Prior beliefs dominate rather than evidence. Your answer was good to mention this and I probably shouldn't complain about how much weight you give it. It's a good answer. Commented Aug 25, 2018 at 16:22