A collection of research papers on Diffusion Models for Weather Forecasting.
The papers are ordered by date.
I check Arxiv weekly and add any diffusion-related papers on topics in atmospheric science.
I might miss the publication of a paper if it is published after its initial upload to Arxiv.
| (Model Name) - Paper Title | Topic | Publication | Date (↓) | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diffusion Models for High-Resolution Solar Forecasts | Cloud Cover Forecasting | - | 2023.02 | [paper] |
| LDCast - Latent diffusion models for generative precipitation nowcasting with accurate uncertainty quantification | Precipitation Nowcasting | - | 2023.04 | [paper] [code] |
| DiffESM - Conditional Emulation of Earth System Models with Diffusion Models | Emulation | ICLR 2023 Workshop | 2023.04 | [paper] [code] |
| SEEDS - Emulation of Weather Forecast Ensembles with Diffusion Models | Ensemble Forecast Emulation | Science Advances | 2023.06 | [paper] |
| DYffusion - A Dynamics-informed Diffusion Model for Spatiotemporal Forecasting | Spatiotemporal Forecasting | NeurIPS 2023 | 2023.06 | [paper] [code] |
| SwinRDM - Integrate SwinRNN with Diffusion Model towards High-Resolution and High-Quality Weather Forecasting | Global Weather Forecasting | AAAI 2023 | 2023.06 | [paper] |
| PreDiff - Precipitation Nowcasting with Latent Diffusion Models | Precipitation Nowcasting | NeurIPS 2023 | 2023.07 | [paper] [code] |
| GDE - Precipitation nowcasting with generative diffusion models | Precipitation Nowcasting | - | 2023.08 | [paper] [code] |
| CorrDiff - Residual Diffusion Modeling for Km-scale Atmospheric Downscaling | Downscaling | - | 2023.10 | [paper] |
| FuXi-Extreme - Improving extreme rainfall and wind forecasts with diffusion model | Global (Extreme) Weather Forecasting | - | 2023.10 | [paper] |
| OF-Diff - Probabilistic Precipitation Downscaling with Optical Flow-Guided Diffusion | Downscaling | - | 2023.11 | [paper] |
| GenCast - Diffusion-based ensemble forecasting for medium-range weather | Global Weather Forecasting | Nature | 2023.12 | [paper] [code] |
| DiffCast - A Unified Framework via Residual Diffusion for Precipitation Nowcasting | Precipitation Nowcasting | CVPR 2024 | 2023.12 | [paper] [code] |
| DGDM - Deterministic Guidance Diffusion Model for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting | Weather Forecasting using Satellite | ECCV 2024 | 2023.12 | [paper] [code] |
| Advancing Realistic Precipitation Nowcasting With a Spatiotemporal Transformer-Based Denoising Diffusion Model | Precipitation Nowcasting | IEEE TGRS | 2024.01 | [paper] |
| DiffDA - A diffusion model for weather-scale data assimilation | Data Assimilation | ICML 2024 | 2024.01 | [paper] [code] |
| LT3P - Long-Term Typhoon Trajectory Prediction: A Physics-Conditioned Approach Without Reanalysis Data | Tropical Cyclone Trajectory Forecasting | ICLR 2024 | 2024.01 | [paper] [code] |
| Wind speed super-resolution and validation: from ERA5 to CERRA via diffusion models | Super resolution | - | 2024.01 | [paper] [code] |
| ExtremeCast - Boosting Extreme Value Prediction for Global Weather Forecast | Global (Extreme) Weather Forecasting | - | 2024.02 | [paper] [code] |
| CasCast - Skillful High-resolution Precipitation Nowcasting via Cascaded Modelling | Precipitation Nowcasting | ICML 2024 | 2024.02 | [paper] [code] |
| SDEdit-Weather - Weather Prediction with Diffusion Guided by Realistic Forecast Processes | Global Weather Forecasting | - | 2024.02 | [paper] |
| Physics-Informed Diffusion Model and Sampling for Global Weather Forecasting | Global Weather Forecasting | - | 2024.03 | [paper] |
| DiffObs - Generative Diffusion for Global Forecasting of Satellite Observations | Global Preciptation Forecasting | ICLR 2024 Workshop | 2024.04 | [paper] |
| Diffusion-Based Joint Temperature and Precipitation Emulation of Earth System Models | Emulation | ICLR 2024 Workshop | 2024.04 | [paper] |
| SLAMS - Deep Generative Data Assimilation in Multimodal Setting | Data Assimilation | CVPR 2024 Workshop | 2024.04 | [paper] [code] |
| ClimateDiffuse - Generative Diffusion-based Downscaling for Climate | Downscaling | - | 2024.04 | [paper] [code] |
| CloudDiff - Super-resolution ensemble retrieval of cloud properties for all day using the generative diffusion model | Super-resolution | - | 2024.05 | [paper] |
| Spherical DYffusion - Probabilistic Emulation of a Global Climate Model with Spherical DYffusion | Global Climate Modelling | NeurIPS 2024 | 2024.06 | [paper] [code] |
| Towards diffusion models for large-scale sea-ice modelling | Sea-Ice modelling | - | 2024.06 | [paper] |
| Generative Data Assimilation of Sparse Weather Station Observations at Kilometer Scales | Data Assimilation | - | 2024.06 | [paper] |
| LDM_res - Can AI be enabled to dynamical downscaling? A Latent Diffusion Model to mimic km-scale COSMO5.0_CLM9 simulations | Downscaling | - | 2024.06 | [paper] [code] |
| Latent Diffusion Model for Generating Ensembles of Climate Simulations | Ensemble Forecasting | - | 2024.07 | [paper] |
| CPMGEM - Machine learning emulation of precipitation from km-scale regional climate simulations using a diffusion model | Precipitation Forecasting | - | 2024.07 | [paper] [code] |
| Forecasting Tropical Cyclones with Cascaded Diffusion Models | TC/Precipitation Forecasting | ICLR 2024 Workshop | 2024.07 | [paper] [code] |
| KESHDiff - Generative Diffusion Model-based Downscaling of Observed Sea Surface Height over Kuroshio Extension since 2000 | Downscaling | - | 2024.08 | [paper] |
| StormCast - Kilometer-Scale Convection Allowing Model Emulation using Generative Diffusion Modeling | Emulation | - | 2024.08 | [paper] |
| DifERS - A Generative Diffusion Model for Probabilistic Ensembles of Precipitation Maps Conditioned on Multisensor Satellite Observations | Precipitation Forecasting | - | 2024.09 | [paper] |
| CoDiCast - Conditional Diffusion Model for Weather Prediction with Uncertainty Quantification | Global Weather Forecasting | - | 2024.09 | [paper] [code] |
| R2-D2 - Dynamical-generative downscaling of climate model ensembles | Downscaling | - | 2024.10 | [paper] |
| Yantian - An Application Platform for AI Global Weather Forecasting Models | Global Weather Forecasting | - | 2024.10 | [paper] |
| ARCI - Continuous Ensemble Weather Forecasting with Diffusion models | Ensemble Forecasting | - | 2024.10 | [paper] [code] |
| IceDiff - High Resolution and High-Quality Sea Ice Forecasting with Generative Diffusion Prior | Sea Ice Forecasting | - | 2024.10 | [paper] |
| Ensemble-based, large-eddy reconstruction of wind turbine inflow in a near-stationary atmospheric boundary layer through generative artificial intelligence | Data Reconstruction | - | 2024.10 | [paper] |
| TCP-Diffusion - A Multi-modal Diffusion Model for Global Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Forecasting with Change Awareness | TC/Precipitation Forecasting | - | 2024.10 | [paper] |
| GenBCSR - Statistical Downscaling via High-Dimensional Distribution Matching with Generative Models | Downscaling | - | 2024.12 | [paper] |
| Downscaling Precipitation with Bias-informed Conditional Diffusion Model | Downscaling | - | 2024.12 | [paper] [code] |
| Spatiotemporally Coherent Probabilistic Generation of Weather from Climate | Downscaling | - | 2024.12 | [paper] [code] |
| A Generative Framework for Probabilistic, Spatiotemporally Coherent Downscaling of Climate Simulation | Downscaling | - | 2024.12 | [paper] [code] |
| Using Generative Models to Produce Realistic Populations of UK Windstorms | Windstorm Simulation | - | 2025.01 | [paper] |
| Improving Tropical Cyclone Forecasting With Video Diffusion Models | Tropical Cyclone Forecasting | - | 2025.01 | [paper] [code] |
| Ensemble score filter with image inpainting for data assimilation in tracking surface quasi-geostrophic dynamics with partial observations | Data Assimilation | - | 2025.01 | [paper] [code] |
| SGD - Satellite Observations Guided Diffusion Model for Accurate Meteorological States at Arbitrary Resolution | Downscaling | - | 2025.02 | [paper] |
| SATcast - Skillful Nowcasting of Convective Clouds With a Cascade Diffusion Model | Convective Clouds Nowcasting | - | 2025.02 | [paper] [code] |
| Diffusion-LAM - Probabilistic Limited Area Weather Forecasting with Diffusion | Probabilistic/Regional Forecasting | - | 2025.02 | [paper] [code] |
| Data-driven Mesoscale Weather Forecasting Combining Swin-Unet and Diffusion Models | Mesoscale Forecasting | - | 2025.03 | [paper] |
| Appa - Bending Weather Dynamics with Latent Diffusion Models for Global Data Assimilation | Data Assimilation | - | 2025.04 | [paper] [code] |
| cBottle - Climate in a Bottle: Towards a Generative Foundation Model for the Kilometer-Scale Global Atmosphere | Global Weather Forecasting | - | 2025.05 | [paper] [code] |
| Score-based diffusion nowcasting of GOES imagery | Cloud Nowcasting | - | 2025.05 | [paper] [code] |
| Align-DA - Align Score-based Atmospheric Data Assimilation with Multiple Preferences | Data Assimilation | - | 2025.05 | [paper] |
| Using Diffusion Models to do Data Assimilation | Data Assimilation | - | 2025.06 | [paper] |
| DEF - Diffusion-augmented Ensemble Forecasting | Emsemble Forecasting | - | 2025.06 | [paper] |
| MODS - Multi-source Observations Conditional Diffusion Model for Meteorological State Downscaling | Downscaling | - | 2025.06 | [paper] |
| Elucidated Rolling Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting | Probabilistic Forecasting | - | 2025.06 | [paper] [code] |
| LaDCast - A Latent Diffusion Model for Medium-Range Ensemble Weather Forecasting | Global Weather Forecasting | - | 2025.06 | [paper] [code] |
| Guided Unconditional and Conditional Generative Models for Super-Resolution and Inference of Quasi-Geostrophic Turbulence | Super-resolution | - | 2025.07 | [paper] [code] |
| HRRRCast - Data-driven emulator for regional weather forecasting at convection allowing scales | Regional Weather Forecasting | - | 2025.07 | [paper] |
| Efficient Kilometer-Scale Precipitation Downscaling with Conditional Wavelet Diffusion | Precipitation Downscaling | - | 2025.07 | [paper] |
| Generative Lagrangian data assimilation for ocean dynamics under extreme sparsity | Data Assimilation | - | 2025.07 | [paper] [code] |
| - | - | - | 2025.00 | [paper] [code] |