Questions tagged [prediction]
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26 questions
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What explanation systems do humans use (not just in philosophy)?
I need to make it clear what I mean by "explanation systems". I mean any system of thought that can make reasonably accurate predictions about a phenomenon. To illustrate, I can think of two:...
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Why is predictive capacity so forceful for Hard Determinists?
I used to play American Football. For those who know, it’s much harder to be a cornerback than a wide receiver, largely because you need to anticipate/predict what route the receiver will run/what ...
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Do hypotheses need a “how” explanation or are predictions enough to validate them?
I will try to illustrate this question with an example.
Suppose there is a person who claims to bend a spoon with his mind, and crucially, claims that somehow, someway, purely his immaterial thoughts ...
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Is it reasonable to view religions as theories, and, if so, to examine their theoretical predictions in order to test them empirically?
Are religions theories? If they are, what would prevent us from studying the theoretical implications of a religious theory in order to identify testable predictions? Are there any religions that ...
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Can an entity predict itself?
I am not into philosophy, but this question came into my mind 2 days ago. It seemed like a philosophical question.
Consider any kind of entity, conscious or unconscious. ( The definitions are vague, ...
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How do we show that an ad hoc theory is less likely to be true?
How does one formally show this to be the case? Intuitively, a person claiming to be a psychic and guessing multiple different events in advance seems to provide better evidence for him/her being a ...
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What kind of free will does Harry Potter have while travelling in time?
In the movie A prisoner of Azkaban, Harry Potter is saved by a mysterious figure that looks like his father shortly before passing out. After that, he learns that time travel is real. He travels to ...
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Is the concept of "supernatural laws" an oxymoron?
In the discussion on defining and distinguishing between naturalism and supernaturalism, is it coherent to entertain the notion of a supernatural realm governed by rules or laws, and if so, would it ...
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Are there versions of theism or supernaturalism that offer testable predictions?
Theism and supernaturalism often draw criticism for their perceived lack of a practical framework capable of generating testable predictions. In contrast, physical theories like general relativity and ...
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Is psychology relevant to whether the fulfilment of an unlikely prediction is evidence that the predicter had some sort of foreknowledge?
When someone makes a prediction that is very unlikely to come true, then if the prediction is fulfilled then we generally have strong reason to think that he had some prior knowledge or information ...
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Is there any theory or postulate accepted in science that isn’t based on novel testable predictions?
I was watching a YouTube video of a guy named Tom Jump who summarizes his epistemology as “If a hypothesis can make new, testable predictions then that counts as evidence. Whichever hypothesis one has ...
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Can an unlikely event be evidence of the existence of a new process?
Note the word “existence” in the question where I’m trying to be careful with my wording here. This can be better illustrated with an example.
Take the example of the cheating process. Suppose one ...
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Can we make nontrivial predictions about the potential future usefulness of specific forms of math, or is it too easy to manipulate math?
This question is motivated by something from the set-theorist Hugh Woodin, a prediction he has made and styled as empirical, according to which a subtheory that he uses will not be shown inconsistent ...
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Can a new theory be proven just from what it predicts?
If we make predictions with a new theory, but cannot verify its internal mechanisms and causal processes, but find that the predictions turn out to be accurate every single time, is this enough ...
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Is an outcome based on a prediction less likely than one without?
Suppose I predict that the lottery numbers that will be won tomorrow are a particular sequence and it comes true. Is this event less likely than it occurring without my prediction?
Intuitively, it ...