Spring Impact Capital reposted this
A few weeks ago, I spoke with a leader at a port operator in Canada. They are currently experimenting with two electric hauling trucks. While satisfied with their performance, he noted their expense would be prohibitive for the time being. Expansion was not immediately in the cards. I wonder if that's changing. A new Bloomberg NEF report shows that, in China, more than 30% of new truck sales in 2026 will be electric. In fact, of all the EV truck sales made globally, 90% were in China. Europe is picking up the pace. As of H1 2026, sales grew by 50% and make up 26% and 23% of truck fleets in Switzerland and Norway respectively. The US? Going backwards. Only 0.4% of med/heavy trucks are electrics. Sales have actually be sharply declining for the past 2 years thanks to policy changes. For instance, the EPA repealed greenhouse gas standards for trucks that would have incentivized more market supply. In Canada, we are on par with the US at 0.4% of stock. We still largely rely on diesel - traditionally abundant and inexpensive. Except maybe not so inexpensive any more. Diesel prices have risen 23% in Canada just in the past 6 weeks - and these could go higher if Trump follows through with a murky plan to ban diesel exports. Because diesel is the backbone of our logistics network, any cost rise gets translated into downstream goods - food, construction supplies, consumer products and more. Global oil price shocks continue to be a massive opportunity to accelerate our energy transition across the board. This will mean decoupling from US trends. While the etrucks themselves may indeed come from abroad, there is ample opportunity for Canadian entrepreneurs to build home grown tech for optimization, charging, autonomous navigation and more - reducing supply chain costs, reducing our dependence on petroleum, and reducing our greenhouse gas footprint. Bloomberg NEF report on trucking: https://lnkd.in/e9PYQm5e Transport Canada stats: https://lnkd.in/eu85HUyc US transport stats: https://lnkd.in/eYfJWw5B