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After the recent illegal US-Israel military aggression against Iran, the Trump administration has now been forced to concede that despite the possibility of a military victory against Iran, a political victory is quite unlikely. The US has thus resumed diplomatic engagements with Iran again, to reduce hostilities. Even though Iran doesn't trust the US, it recognizes that it is currently in a politically stronger position which has emboldened Iran to make some tough demands to the US for diplomatic considerations. Thus, during the start of this fresh negotiations, Iran has reportedly made a 10-point proposal, to the US, through third-parties:

Gulf News (Apr 2026): Iran’s proposal is a structured framework to end the war permanently rather than temporarily pause it. According to Iranian officials and state media, the key elements include:

  • A guarantee that Iran will not be attacked again
  • A permanent end to the war, not just a ceasefire
  • An end to Israeli strikes in Lebanon and against Iranian allies
  • The lifting of all US sanctions on Iran
  • Iran agreeing to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
  • Introduction of a $2 million fee per ship transiting Hormuz
  • Revenue from shipping fees to be shared with Oman
  • Funds to be used for reconstruction of war-damaged infrastructure
  • Establishment of safe passage protocols through Hormuz
  • A broader framework to end regional hostilities

There is no clarity yet whether the US has agreed to negotiate on all these points. However, the first 2 points are very likely to be in the negotiations and my question pertains to it - A guarantee that Iran will not be attacked again and A permanent end to the war, not just a ceasefire.

Assuming a diplomatic deal is reached, and the US accepts this demand, what diplomatic measures or mechanism can be made by Iran to ensure the US (and Israel) honours these terms in the future? (Iran has already been abruptly attacked 2 times by the US even as it was negotiating with them in good-faith, and thus the Americans have already proven to be a dishonest and untrustworthy party).


Additional notes:

  1. The answers in Has Russia explained why Ukraine can trust them, given the Budapest memorandum? doesn't satisfactorily provide an answer to this question (i.e. what specific diplomatic measures / mechanism can be taken that will make Iran confident that the particular terms will be realistically honoured). Moreover, the US-Israel-Iran war is different from the Russia-Ukraine war in that neither US or Israel have invaded it (yet) with their armies. And Iran, unlike Ukraine, has more geopolitical clout in the region, despite being militarily weaker than the foes it faces. It thus has more diplomatic room to manoeuvre in a negotiation. A Russia-Ukraine diplomatic solution thus may not necessarily apply to this dispute.

  2. For those commenting about "bias": Stating the facts that the war is illegal and that US sometimes have negotiated with Iran in bad-faith is pertinent to the question as both these factors are important for the context of this Q which is about diplomacy. Many European countries, and other western allies, have not joined the war because they have publicly stated that they fear the war fall fouls of International Law. And, in my opinion, that fact could also be somehow used in the negotiations by Iran (though, I am not sure how) to enforce the terms I have asked about.

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  • This question is similar to: Has Russia explained why Ukraine can trust them, given the Budapest memorandum?. If you believe it’s different, please edit the question, make it clear how it’s different and/or how the answers on that question are not helpful for your problem. Commented Apr 8 at 12:42
  • what diplomatic measures or mechanism can be made by Iran to ensure the US (and Israel) honours these terms this seems backwards. It's obvious that it is the US that wants something, regime change with a compliant supplicant. The problem is that the US does not have anyone, zero people to provide enforcement of terms in Iran. That apparently includes the 500,000 Iranians residing in the US. I haven't seen a single person. The current regime exists due to it did fight and forced regime change. Commented Apr 12 at 11:11
  • @GregAskew Iran is the weaker party here with limited options. And it doesn't trust the US. I am asking what terms can Iran insist on with the US to assure itself that the US would honour some important term in the agreement. (In other words, some kind of guarantees included in the agreement that would make the US think twice before breaking the term as it would end up being politically costly for it). Commented Apr 13 at 14:31
  • There aren't any, for the same reason. And if there were agreement on terms, there is no court or arbiter to resolve differences. Or mechanism to compel compliance. It is likely that there is little appetite for direct engagement on the ground by anyone. Otherwise the simplest and quickest resolution would be to establish crusader states on the shoreline and call them Exxon, Shell, and British Petroleum. Commented Apr 13 at 15:45
  • @GregAskew That isn't factual. As others have pointed, there are diplomatic options, like asking a third-party to be the guarantor. Commented Apr 13 at 17:02

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TLDR: A signed treaty, ratified by the US Congress, would go a long way towards locking in mutually agreed to terms. Very unlikely to happen.

I know Iran has no reason to trust Trump and the US, but a dispassionate analysis of the events of the last 20 years shows that a big part of the problem was that there was no Congressional acknowledgment of the deals signed by US presidents, meaning that they could be reversed by the next incoming president.

That's not to downplay the diplomatic and trust catastrophe of Trump tearing up JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, the agreement reached in 2015 sometimes referred to as the 'Iran nuclear deal') or waging this latest war during/on the heel of ongoing negotiations: I believe the US problem of Congress rarely ratifying is a major issue with US diplomacy and doubly so when people like Trump get elected. But a ratified treaty, unlikely though I believe it to be, would go a long way towards answering the question.

I don't see it as likely to happen however. Congress is so deadlocked that anything Trump wants, the Dems will deny. Meanwhile a POTUS has to "sell" a treaty to Congress and I can't see anything that Trump would want to sell, especially considering how little he has engaged with Congress since 2025, being something that Iran would find highly beneficial. To motivate Trump it would have to be a "win" and adversarial Congressional reviews of the terms would quickly nullify Trumpian spins of "win".

The parallels with Ukraine are not very strong. Europe has a large stake in Ukraine's future, or rather the cessation of Russian encroachment, and is in aggregate pretty close to Russia in terms of military power, nukes aside (and even counting nukes, it doesn't take many to glassify the big Russian cities). It is also right next door.

Iran presents no great reason for other countries to risk very much on its behalf. It is liked by few nations that matter much (the Houthis in Yemen are probably its most significant steadfast ally). Russia under Putin is hardly the most trustworthy nation, has done little for Venezuela or Cuba and seems to assist Iran more out of mutual convenience. China will take a hard-headed look at its own interests before committing to anything and those interests are just as well served by just buying Iranian oil. China doesn't mind the US losing influence and friends, but it doesn't have to put itself on the line to achieve that. Other countries are such minnows (esp. far from home) vs. the US far that they will either will sit this out or not be a credible counterbalance.

The UN? Quite beneficial and useful in many circumstances, including peacekeeping when both parties genuinely find it beneficial to disengage. Not so useful when either party is not acting in good faith. And doubly so when one of the parties is very powerful or has UN veto rights. Its record in Lebanon, for example, has been iffy to date (wrt constraining either Israel or Hezbollah).

The Gulf countries, if fully brought in, could somewhat achieve this goal, being important to the West and regional. But they have religious, political (and recent Iranian strike) reasons to sit this out as well. If anything, the general news coverage on their position - at least for some of them - seems to be: "we didn't want this war, but now that you started it, finish it and neutralize Iran, don't leave us with your mess".

As noted in a comment, "needing peacekeepers" is hardly the image Iran's rulers are likely to want to project. Not to mention that on-location peacekeepers would have a first row view at future Iranian "protest management methods", which they'd probably want to keep to themselves.

Iran will probably have to settle for something like the JCPOA, POTUS-only signatory, in practice.

The question would normally be: how likely is a future POTUS to tear up Trump's agreement? At a guess, probably not that likely: Democrats will not want to start another war with Iran, esp. not on Israel's behalf. While Republicans would find it hard to disavow Trump's legacy.

In the specific case of Trump however, it's not even sure he won't change his mind on his own agreement (which is somewhat Canada and Mexico's experience with USMCA, signed by Trump in 2020). Still, overall, I'd like to think American politicians other than this administration have learned from Trump's annulment of JCPOA that abrogating agreements without good reasons and without a good replacement is not as constructive as it might seem (but that thought may be naive, I admit).

Alternatively, a "frozen conflict"?

Barmar also makes a good point in a comment under their answer that it might just end up a la Korean War, a ceasefire that is only a ceasefire and remains a frozen conflict. That may be an even more likely ending to this war, although it by definition would not result in durable American commitments as asked in this question.

And how would that be "enforced" upon the US? As per this other answer, pretty much by Iran keeping the same cards as they currently have: the capacity for mayhem in the region. Ditto for a POTUS-only agreement.

p.s. As noted in a comment under the question, I am waiting to see what was really agreed to and I am rather skeptical that it is Iran's laundry list cited above. We know there is a 2 week ceasefire, during which negotiations are meant to take place and I would expect the final shape of the terms to become clear then, not now. Without that agreement what we have right now are Iranian demands and a temporary ceasefire with somewhat uncertain rules. Along with a US administration desperate to spin it into a "win". No more, no less.

p.p.s. Claims - see comments - that the war was already illegal according to US laws and that a ratified treaty wouldn't change anything are hogwash. Yes, Congress is supposed to authorize war, but this "isn't a war". We almost never have any wars left on the planet these days and POTUS is in charge of most foreign policy (treaty ratifications and war declarations aside). And in practice, for the last 80 yrs or so POTUS has largely "done their thing" by running undeclared wars under a "I am in charge of foreign policy" claim of authority. That's what War Powers Act of 1973 was supposed to fix, after Vietnam saw a even more massive "non-war". Didn't really happen, and there have been questionable cases since, even though this war dwarfs them all in magnitude. Whether this type of military adventure is legally, per US domestic law, within the rights of the President to decide or not is for SCOTUS to decide. However, not abiding by a ratified treaty would clearly be an abuse of presidential power.

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    I think that is more a principle of UK Parliamentary powers. In any case, a solid treaty for say 30 years pretty good in practice: enmities tend to fade over time and, to me, it seems not realistic to expect bilateral international relations to be frozen in time over long durations by legal means, that has to come from genuine shifts in public opinion and governmental positions. Also, many treaties have withdrawal notice clauses as well, which means they contain built-in ways to be rolled back. Commented Apr 8 at 18:09
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    Looks like nobody is sure about that aspect - Can today’s Congress tell tomorrow’s Congress what to do? No. Maybe. Sort of.. Commented Apr 8 at 18:37
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    @JoeW: that logic is very relevant here though. Trump started a war even though he's supposed to ask permission from Congress for one, on certain readings of the Constitution. But it's enough that there's a blocking minority in the Senate for the POTUS not to have to care what Congress says, for quite some time. We'll see what happens to the $200 billion request for the war, if it's really put to Congress like that. (Probably will be couched as the the need to restock US stockpiles after firing most of the JASSMs at Iran. Which is again POTUS adv: shoot first, ask for restock later.) Commented Apr 9 at 3:47
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    @JoeW "By that logic, nothing can guarantee it": indeed, some guarantees are backed by nothing other than the guarantor's word, and that is certainly the case in international diplomacy. Even if there were a treaty ratified by congress, it would only "go a long way" as this answer says. It wouldn't actually arrive anywhere. It wouldn't actually guarantee anything; the US could break the terms of the treaty with or without formally repudiating it, and there would be no court that could issue a binding ruling in favor of Iran. Commented Apr 10 at 17:24
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    "what was really agreed to and I am rather skeptical that it is Iran's laundry list cited above" The US had their 15-point list. Iran have their 10-point list. The ceasefire is most certainly not based on either, probably just "we stop firing, we talk". The fact Iran gave a 10-point list (which is mostly unacceptable to the US, like the US 15-point list is mostly unacceptable to Iran) is just a signal that they are willing to talk rather than anything. But it's also a signal that it's probably going to be difficult to agree to anything given the gap between the two positions. Commented Apr 11 at 14:40
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what diplomatic measures or mechanism can be made by Iran to ensure the US (and Israel) honours these terms in the future?

Realistically, while the IRI is in place (since you mentioned their list of demands), none other than what they did already: blockade the Hormuz again and shoot missiles at most neighboring countries (especially oil & gas infrastructure) if someone tries to reopen it by force.

The ceasefire has de facto come down just to the US not bombing Iran in return for them opening the Hormuz. Everyone claims victory but/because very little else was actually agreed upon.

If there were to be a major regime change in Iran (beyond 'replaced Khamenei with Khamenei' level), the new regime might able to trust the US more, but only if they gave in on the major US demands: removal of all nuclear material, dismantling most their missiles & drones etc. If Syria is any indication, Israel would probably just bomb (again) Iran in case of a regime change, to remove much of the remaining weapons during the chaos. So, some of that may be 'automatic' in such a scenario.

P.S. I've only read the other answers now, after writing that. If you want more of the Korea analogy, Iran retaining the ability to close the strait is their equivalent of DPRK being able to inflict large amounts of damage on Seoul, even without nukes.

P.P.S. Iran has been asking for some kind of guarantees from Russia & China, but it's very unlikely to get them, I think. (Quoting this because those 'live update' links tend to go bad.)

At a press conference in Beijing early Wednesday, Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli, Iran’s ambassador to China, requested that its two closest allies and the world body help guarantee Tehran’s long-term security as part of the recent deal to end hostilities between U.S and Iran.

The Islamic Republic has made similar requests in the past but they have not come to fruition.

When asked if China would be willing to guarantee such security, foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning demurred Wednesday, telling reporters: “We hope that all parties will resolve their disputes through dialogue and negotiation.”

This is quite unlike the Korea situation, where the ceasefire stability also came from the mutual defense treaties that Russia and China have with the North.

Finally, as you mentioned Ukraine, Pro-Russia accounts (and even US these days) often like to portray the resolution to the war in Ukraine as "make a deal and take an L(oss) now, or take a bigger L(oss) in the future" (like when Trump says 'Russia has all the cards' etc.) The US-Israel alliance basically tells the same to IRI. (Trump literally said the US has all the card vis-à-vis of Iran.) Of course, Ukraine receives much more external help, but has less Hormuz-type leverage over Russia (even with all the attacks on tankers in the Black Sea or even in the Mediterranean), so the two situations aren't that similar beyond this superficial gradient level. Also, the Hormuz only affects the US indirectly, via global oil price, but its GCC allies are directly affected.

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    "If there were to be a major regime change in Iran (beyond 'replaced Khamenei with Khamenei' level), the new regime might able to trust the US more" -1. Quick history lesson, look up how the current Iranian regime came into power and why the populace felt it was an improvement over the one before that. Commented Apr 9 at 8:50
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    "but only if they gave in on the major US demands: removal of all nuclear material, dismantling most their missiles & drones etc." For the past 50 or so years, the US has been actively sabotaging Iran for having the temerity to want to own the oil in its own territory. However totalitarian the current Iranian regime is, when they denounce the US as "The Great Enemy" they are not inaccurate. Commented Apr 9 at 8:53
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    @Shadur-don't-feed-the-AI US has been actively sabotaging Iran for having the temerity to want to own the oil in its own territory. Hmmm, that is a rather inaccurate, sloppy, claim. Yes, the US ousted Iran's PM in 1953, on the UK's behalf, for those reasons. But, for the last 50 years? Have you forgotten the embassy? The various terrorist attacks Iran sponsors? This war sucks and is horribly badly run but Iran is hardly a blushing virginal innocent maiden here. Only the extent of Trump's folly (derived from the French folie, madness. 25th FTW) is getting everyone to be Iran fans. Commented Apr 9 at 15:42
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    @italianPhilosopher If you want to argue state sponsored terrorism, look up "Iran-Contra" and all the assorted fuckery the CIA has been up to not just in the middle east in the name of "national security". I'm not saying Iran is in any way shape or form the good guy. I am however saying that Iran's hatred for the West in general and the US in particular is entirely reasonable and based on past experience and any analysis that fails to take that into consideration is bound to fail to come up with a solution. Commented Apr 10 at 7:09
  • @ItalianPhilosopher: The bar for invoking the 25th is higher than for impeachment AFAIK. An impeachment wouldn't be a problem if the checks and balances were working at all, though. It really wouldn't be too hard to find some "Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors". Commented Apr 12 at 19:20
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By actually getting the nuke

Saddam, North Korea, Iran itself and most clearly Gaddaffis Lybia have well proven that in diplomacy (without subservience) with the US, only actually having WMDs counts.

US treaties and especially non-formalised promises cannot be trusted, this was true even before the more erratic current US presidency. As was proven by Gaddafi giving up his WMDs and being toppled soon after despite explicit US promises. And North Korea remaining untouched despite all the rethoric threatening to change that.

Sure, having WMDs won't stop the US from later applying sanctions (like on North Korea), but by threatening to close the strait again Iran (now unattackable) would have sufficient leverage to avoid actually being sanctioned. After all, besides kicking out US (and british) oil interests, what has Iran done that the US doesn't happily tolerate in it's allies?

Israel would surely throw a fit but what are they going to do? Attack a country capable of actually fighting back? Not gonna happen.

Leveraging this leverage in favour of Irans allies would be a complex political process but at least as or more promising than any alternatives.

How would this happen in reality?

It most likely wouldn't, that's the flaw in this answer. The one actual solution to Iran's issues is the one that Israel and the US will never accept for differing reasons. Israel not because that was the proclaimed point of all their anti-Iran actions (including this very attack) and the US not because it would a) signal impotence (if it happens against their will); b) be an admission that they cannot be trusted, an absolute no-go and/or c) be a massive betrayal of Israel.

So above-board obtaining, aka as part of the negotiations is out of the question.

(Semi) secret avenues are similarily thin. If they could obtain one natively they would've done so ages ago for obvious reasons (note that this as always includes a sufficiently reliable delivery vehicle). So we need an external power with a nuke or two to spare. Whether the device will be handed over or nuclear troops of that nation are stationed in Iran is largely irrelevant, what counts is Iran's ability to "press the button" (or at least the international perception that they have this ability). But once again we are at an impasse. The list of nations having a nuke is short and the subsection that don't hugely fear US reprisals is even shorter, namely North Korea, China and Russia.

Russia risks renewed (and/or decisive) American support for Ukraine, and relies on a complicated, impotent US-internal state on the matter for the somewhat ongoing negotiations for that war (not to mention that by giving Iran a nuke, suddenly US peacekeepers for Ukraine would likely become a real proposal, something Russia desperately does not want).

North Korea seems plausible at first:The US is more or less already as hostile to them as possible (in large parts because they have nukes), but they don't have that many, so the cost of handing over a couple (one isn't enough) to Iran is huge.

That leaves us with China. China merely risks a(n intensification of the) trade war and informal hostilities. Which is tolerable, so maybe maybe maybe they could do it. But they are committed to nonproliferation so I'd expect severe internal resistance to such a move. They are nevertheless the most likely source of this actually effective guarantee though. Not likely, just more likely than all the others.

And with these large costs we come to the main point: Why would anyone? What's to gain? Iran isn't situated well enough financially (especially not after the US/Israeli destruction), can't unilaterally reliably provide oil (as the embargo to Cuba shows, the US can stop shipments whenever they want) and doesn't really have much more to offer except the capability of throwing the world economy into chaos. And if anyone would want that, why intervene in the first place?

So tl:dr: Iran will have to be happy with some not-really-guaranteeting appearance of "guarantees", because it will not get any actual ones in the negotiations because the one that would be real and effective is too costly for any potential provider and absolutely off-limits for the attacking side.

Note: I somewhat handwaved the "handing over a nuke vs stationing nuclear armed troops in Iran" topic because it simply doesn't matter and comes with it's own lengthy list of pros and cons. Handing over the nuke has far higher (primarily political) costs for the donor nation while stationed foreign troops would go against Iran's unalignment principles and might put the nuclear deterrents reliability up to debate. Also it doesn't change the broader arguments made here, just the in-detail cost-benefit analyses, but not the actual outcome. If the nuclear threat is credible, it's credible, if not, it may as well not be there.

Edit for clarity: Iran doesn't need a nuke specifically. Just any credible WMD, although nukes are the strongest variant in terms of medial/political/diplomatic impact. I also include the availability of a decently robust delivery option to at least Israel. OP asked (indirectly) for "diplomatic means" to which I say that getting a nuke (or alternative) is as much a diplomatic endeavour as it is a physical/military one.

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  • I don't think this would work. It's more likely to bring a first strike down upon them. At some point, Israel, the US, or Pakistan (in that order of likelihood) will see the need to take it away, and do so. Commented Apr 10 at 20:52
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    @Joshua your line of reasoning has no precedent. The US didn't nuke the Soviets (and early on there was a huge disparity), Pakistan and India didn't nuke each other and so on. It also doesn't make any sense. The US already hated India and Pakistan getting nukes, but did they do anything? Nope. Because you cannot take nukes away. They are always only ever surrendered. By governments that later regret it. Sure, Israel will yell and cry about the "need" to take them but they won't do anything. Because they're in range. Commented Apr 13 at 9:45
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    @sfxedit I've added an entire section about that, including why "Irans own vs foreign nuke" does not really change much Commented Apr 13 at 16:05
  • @QuestionablePresence That does improve the answer a lot. Note though that despite the US - Ukraine factor, Russia would jump at the chance to form a military alliance with Iran. The west has managed to kill all its allies in the middle-east and depending on how things pan out with Iran, RU may even be edged out of it's last foothold - Syria. An alliance with Iran would suddenly balance the scale vis the west in the middle-east and restore a lot of its influence in the region. And that would also provide a leverage to counter any aid to Ukraine, by threat against American allies in the ME. Commented Apr 13 at 16:50
  • @QuestionablePresence "first strike" doesn't necessarily have to be nuclear, it can be a repeat of the attack that started this war. Also remember that we came very close to a nuclear strike during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Commented Apr 13 at 19:14
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These two conditions - a guarantee that [country] will not be attacked again; a permanent end to the war, not just a ceasefire - is quite similar to the conditions Russia/Ukraine want to end their war. So it's a reasonable guess that Iran is seeking something similar to what Ukraine is seeking, which is peacekeepers from more powerful countries. The idea is that if there are French & UK (and possibly other countries') soldiers on the ground, then a new invasion by Russia would trigger retaliation from these nuclear-armed countries.

Presumably Iran would seek peacekeepers from China/Russia, maybe Pakistan/India.

NB: This is speculative right now; no details have emerged (that I have seen, at least). Iran is also not Ukraine - thus far it is fighting mostly alone, and it has historically refrained from joining military alliances. They might be looking for something else than foreign troops on their soil.

Edit: Iran has apparently asked China for security guarantees. China has not and apparently is not likely to accept, although they did guarantee the security of Iran's diplomats.

Underscoring the risks, Pakistani officials reportedly told the Guardian that while Islamabad acted as mediator in recent talks, China functioned as “guarantor,” promising Iranian officials they wouldn’t be assassinated during any future negotiations. It’s unclear how Beijing would offer such an assurance, or the motivation for doing so given the repercussions should something then go wrong.

...

Bringing Iran to the negotiation table, however, is only the first step to end hostilities. Tehran is seeking security guarantees that it won’t be attacked again, and has publicly asked Beijing to play such a role — a request analysts say China is unlikely to accept.

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    The idea of peacekeepers in this case is less of a UN mission to actually prevent internal conflict, and more that if you have a bunch of foreign soldiers there then other countries might want to avoid attacking because accidentally killing them could bring you into a war with these larger countries. Of course, the issue there is that most of the countries willing to give Iran weapons to fight the US are likely a lot less inclined to do anything which might get them involved in an actual war with the US. Commented Apr 8 at 12:24
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    Didn't downvote, but this seems far from certain to me and really needs some sources. I'm somewhat doubtful that Iran would welcome the optics of needing foreign troops on its soil to protect it. Commented Apr 8 at 14:29
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    @user111403 Yes. I added a disclaimer that this is speculative, right now. Commented Apr 8 at 16:09
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    @Obie2.0 I think the opposite actually. Fire and brimstone ("a civilization will die tonight") would a) either not be enough to get Iran's govt to back down now or b) would unequivocally be a war crime if it was enough (like all the morons suggesting tac nukes, as an extreme example). Which might get Congress to act. So, given that a) would not work and b) would be too much for everyone, he came to the conclusion that, at least in the immediate moment, military means would not work. So he could not quite deliver on his ultimatum so kick the bucket down the line. And call it a win. Commented Apr 8 at 20:13
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    @ItalianPhilosopher And poof! The ceasefire has already been broken by Israel, and Trump administration is rushing to its defence while Iran says it will close the Strait again. Egypt and Pakistan are now pissed at this drama. Commented Apr 8 at 20:28
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At this point in time, this is just a broad framework of the goals of all the parties in this conflict. They're being used to justify a two-week ceasefire, during which time all the details will hopefully be fleshed out.

It seems premature at this time to speculate on the precise ways in which any of the provisions will be enforced, or even if they'll all still exist in the same form at the end of the negotiations. This is just a starting point, not a full plan.

Also, phrases like "permanent end to the war" are somewhat meaningless. There hasn't actually been a war declared by either party, although many in the public and media refer to this as a war (the same is true for the war between Russia and Ukraine). So how can we say when the war has officially ended, and whether future hostilities are part of the same or a different war?

To answer your basic question, though, there aren't really many enforcement methods in international relations. Many consider the attacks from the US and Israel that started this conflict to be war crimes, because they believe there was no imminent threat from Iran, but that didn't prevent the war and there's good reason to believe no one will ever be punished for it. Peacekeepers can be deployed, but it will be hard to find neutral nations to act in this capacity, and they may be ineffective against a superpower like the US. Sanctions are common, but how useful has that been against Russia regarding the Ukraine War?

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    It seems premature at this time to speculate on the precise ways in which any of the provisions will be enforced - I am not asking for speculation on how the US-Iran negotiation will go, but whether there exists any diplomatic measures or negotiating tactics that can reasonably assure a party that some term(s) it insists on will be reasonably enforced (in this particular scenario, that hostilities will cease "permanently", meaning at least that initiation of the war again will carry some cost for the aggressor so as to dissuade them to consider such an option). Commented Apr 8 at 17:16
  • I do address the general idea of assurances and enforcement in the rest of the answer. I don't think it's necessary to get specific to this particular agreement, they'll likely just do it the way past international treaties have been handled. Commented Apr 8 at 18:57
  • In other words, do you think there's a difference between how this will end and how past hostilities like the Korean War and Afghanistan were handled? Realize that the Korean War has technically never been ended, we're sill in a decades-long armistice. Commented Apr 8 at 18:59
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    While past precedents could be great examples, I am also not sure how well it applies to a world where the "rules" of the "rules based order" is no longer applicable. And even as we speak, the "ceasefire" is going to come to abrupt end because Israel has already violated it. Commented Apr 8 at 20:32
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    In a word where rules don't apply, the answer could simply be "they can't." But they're certainly not going to say that when (if?) these negotiations are completed. Commented Apr 8 at 20:36

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