Making the Business Math Work

This title was summarized by AI from the post below.

And we need to talk about it more. It isn’t about whether or not you have a good product. It’s about making sure the math works to keep it alive.

You buy a $7 sauce at Whole Foods. The founder gets $0.62 to run her entire company. Haven's Kitchen had 1,500 stores. Strong sales. A product people loved and rebought. A NEXTY-nominated new line. 12 years of work. In August 2024, she was on camera talking about growth. In January 2025, she posted on LinkedIn that it was over. Not because the product failed. Because of math. Retailer takes 40%. Distributor takes 22%. Then slotting fees, trade promos, broker fees, cold chain freight. By the time everyone gets their cut, there's almost nothing left. She saw it coming. By mid-2024 she was already saying "without cheap capital, experimenting isn't easy right now." She was raising. The raise didn't close. She let her team go with plenty of notice and severance. Wound it down before the money ran out, not after. Then she wrote something on LinkedIn: "The founders who sold for millions and the founders who shut down often have more in common than either group admits. The difference is frequently timing, capital, and luck. Not talent. Not effort. Not worth." 2024 was the year CPG investors called "our Darwinian moment." Dozens of indie brands died the same quiet death. This isn't a failure story. It's a math story. I wrote the full autopsy. Link in comments. #cpg #startups #entrepreneurship #foodandbeverage #venturecapital

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