The U.S. Will Have More Seniors Than Children by 2029
Published
Save to Inbox
The U.S. Will Have More Seniors Than Children by 2029
Key Takeaways
- Americans age 65 and older are projected to outnumber children under 18 for the first time in 2029.
- Census projections have moved the crossover forward significantly; 2017 projections placed it around 2034.
- Even in different immigration scenarios, the crossover is still projected to occur between 2028 and 2030.
America is approaching a major shift in its age structure.
The aging of the baby boom generation, combined with a long-term slowdown in U.S. births, is rapidly closing the gap between the country’s youngest and oldest age groups.
This visualization shows how dramatically that balance has changed since 2000, when children under 18 outnumbered Americans age 65 and older by more than two to one.
The data for this visualization comes from the U.S. Census Bureau and its 2023 National Population Projections.
The Crossover Arrives in 2029
In 2000, the under-18 population stood at 72.4 million, compared with just 35.1 million people age 65 and older.
| Year | U.S. Population Under 18 (millions) | U.S. Population Age 65 and Over (millions) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 72.4 | 35.1 |
| 2001 | 72.7 | 35.3 |
| 2002 | 72.9 | 35.5 |
| 2003 | 73.1 | 35.9 |
| 2004 | 73.3 | 36.2 |
| 2005 | 73.5 | 36.7 |
| 2006 | 73.8 | 37.2 |
| 2007 | 74.0 | 37.8 |
| 2008 | 74.1 | 38.8 |
| 2009 | 74.1 | 39.6 |
| 2010 | 74.2 | 40.4 |
| 2011 | 73.9 | 41.4 |
| 2012 | 73.7 | 43.1 |
| 2013 | 73.6 | 44.6 |
| 2014 | 73.6 | 46.2 |
| 2015 | 73.7 | 47.7 |
| 2016 | 73.7 | 49.2 |
| 2017 | 73.6 | 50.8 |
| 2018 | 73.4 | 52.4 |
| 2019 | 73.1 | 54.0 |
| 2020 | 73.7 | 56.0 |
| 2021 | 73.0 | 57.5 |
| 2022 | 72.8 | 59.1 |
| 2023 | 72.7 | 61.0 |
| 2024 | 72.6 | 62.8 |
| 2025 | 72.0 | 64.6 |
| 2026 | 70.4 | 65.1 |
| 2027 | 69.9 | 66.8 |
| 2028 | 69.6 | 68.4 |
| 2029 | 69.3 | 69.9 |
| 2030 | 69.1 | 71.2 |
| 2031 | 68.9 | 72.3 |
| 2032 | 68.6 | 73.2 |
| 2033 | 68.3 | 74.1 |
| 2034 | 68.1 | 74.9 |
| 2035 | 67.9 | 75.8 |
| 2036 | 67.8 | 76.7 |
| 2037 | 67.8 | 77.4 |
| 2038 | 67.7 | 77.7 |
| 2039 | 67.8 | 78.0 |
| 2040 | 67.8 | 78.3 |
| 2041 | 67.7 | 78.5 |
| 2042 | 67.7 | 78.8 |
| 2043 | 67.6 | 79.1 |
| 2044 | 67.5 | 79.4 |
| 2045 | 67.4 | 79.8 |
| 2046 | 67.2 | 80.3 |
| 2047 | 67.1 | 80.8 |
| 2048 | 66.9 | 81.2 |
| 2049 | 66.7 | 81.6 |
| 2050 | 66.5 | 82.1 |
| 2051 | 66.3 | 82.6 |
| 2052 | 66.0 | 83.1 |
| 2053 | 65.8 | 83.7 |
| 2054 | 65.6 | 84.3 |
| 2055 | 65.4 | 85.1 |
| 2056 | 65.1 | 85.9 |
| 2057 | 64.9 | 86.7 |
| 2058 | 64.7 | 87.4 |
| 2059 | 64.5 | 88.1 |
| 2060 | 64.3 | 88.8 |
By 2025, that gap had narrowed sharply, with about 72.0 million children compared with 64.6 million seniors.
The crossover arrives in 2029, when the population age 65 and older is projected to reach 69.9 million, compared with 69.3 million children under 18.
Just one year later, the gap widens to more than 2 million, with 71.2 million seniors versus 69.1 million children.
The Senior Population Is Already Largely Locked In
The near-term rise in America’s senior population is unusually predictable.
Everyone who will turn 65 by 2029 has already been born, and the final members of the baby boom generation, born in 1964, will reach that age in 2029.
As a result, the number of Americans reaching retirement age over the next few years is largely baked into the population. The number of children is less certain, since it is more sensitive to future births and migration.
The Crossover Keeps Moving Closer
The crossover is arriving sooner than previously expected.
Census projections released in 2017 placed the milestone around 2034, five years later than the agency’s 2023 projections.
One major factor behind the shift is the continued decline in U.S. fertility, which has reduced the number of children entering the population.
Immigration can slow the shift, but it does not appear likely to prevent it. Across Census scenarios ranging from zero to high immigration, seniors are still projected to outnumber children between 2028 and 2030.
The long-term gap becomes even more pronounced after the crossover.
By 2040, the senior population is projected to reach 78.3 million, compared with 67.8 million children. By 2060, those figures are projected to reach 88.8 million seniors and 64.3 million children.
That changing age structure could have broad implications for labor markets, healthcare demand, public spending, and the size of the future workforce.
Learn More on the Voronoi App 
If you enjoyed today’s post, check out Mapped: U.S. Population Growth and Decline by 2040 on Voronoi.
You may also like
Ranked: U.S. Wealth by Generation in 2026
Baby Boomers make up 30% of U.S. households but hold 52% of America’s $185.7 trillion in household net worth.
Published
September 27, 2026 8:19 am
How U.S. Wealth Breaks Down by Generation
Key Takeaways
- Baby Boomers hold $97.4 trillion, or 52% of U.S. household net worth, despite making up just 30% of households.
- Millennials and Gen Z account for 37% of U.S. households, more than any other generation, but hold only 11% of household wealth.
American households are worth a combined $185.7 trillion, and more than half of that belongs to a single generation.
This graphic compares each generation’s share of U.S. households with its share of household net worth as of Q2 2026, using data from the Federal Reserve’s Distributional Financial Accounts.
Net worth is assets such as homes, stocks, and pensions minus debts like mortgages and credit cards. The Fed assigns each household to a generation based on the birth year of its reference person, typically the head of household, and counts everyone born in 1981 or later as a Millennial, so Gen Z is included in that group.
Why Baby Boomers Hold So Much U.S. Wealth
Decades of accumulating stocks, homes, and pension savings have left Baby Boomers, born between 1946 and 1964, with the largest share of U.S. household wealth.
Generation X is the only generation whose share of wealth closely matches its share of households, at 26% for each, with $47.7 trillion in net worth.
The table below shows each generation’s share of U.S. households and household net worth as of Q2 2026:
| Generation | Birth Years | U.S. Household Wealth by Generation, Q2 2026 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share of Households (%) | Share of Net Worth (%) | Net Worth ($T) | ||
| Silent Generation and older | Before 1946 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 19.78 |
| Baby Boomers | 1946–1964 | 30.4 | 52.5 | 97.40 |
| Generation X | 1965–1980 | 25.8 | 25.7 | 47.66 |
| Millennials (incl. Gen Z) | 1981 or later | 37.2 | 11.2 | 20.80 |
| All U.S. households | -- | 100.0 | 100.0 | 185.65 |
The Silent Generation and older now head just 7% of households, but those households hold 11% of U.S. household wealth, averaging about $2.2 million in net worth each.
Stock ownership helps set Boomers’ wealth apart. They hold $35.2 trillion in stocks and mutual funds, or 55% of the household total. Their net worth rose by $7.9 trillion in Q2 2026 alone, with $5.5 trillion of that increase coming from equities. That quarterly equity gain alone was equal to more than a quarter of all Millennial and Gen Z wealth.
Millennial Wealth Is Growing, but Boomers Are Adding More
Millennials and Gen Z have grown from 4.9% of U.S. household net worth in Q2 2020 to 11.2% today, as their wealth nearly quadrupled from $5.3 trillion to $20.8 trillion.
Even so, Boomer net worth rose by $38.2 trillion over the same six years, compared with $15.5 trillion for Millennials and Gen Z, who make up the largest generational group in America. A smaller percentage gain on a much larger base can still add more dollars.
The table below shows each generation’s share of U.S. household net worth in the second quarter of every sixth year since 1990:
| Generation | Share of U.S. Household Net Worth by Year (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 1996 | 2002 | 2008 | 2014 | 2020 | 2026 | |
| Silent Generation and older | 79.7 | 67.7 | 52.3 | 39.5 | 27.3 | 15.9 | 10.7 |
| Baby Boomers | 19.8 | 30.1 | 42.2 | 51.6 | 55.5 | 54.3 | 52.5 |
| Generation X | 0.5 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 15.7 | 24.9 | 25.7 |
| Millennials (incl. Gen Z) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 11.2 |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
The Silent Generation held 80% of household wealth in 1990 and holds 11% today. The Boomer share peaked at 55.5% in 2014 and has slipped only three percentage points since, even as Boomers’ share of households fell from 36% to 30%.
Millennial balance sheets also look very different. Real estate makes up 38% of their assets, compared with 20% for Boomers, and they owe $8.6 trillion, or 43% of all household debt. That is more than Boomers and the Silent Generation owe combined, and equal to 29% of Millennial assets versus 4% for Boomers.
The generational wealth picture will continue to change as Boomers age and assets are transferred to younger generations. How quickly that reshapes the chart will depend not only on inheritances, but also on asset prices, debt, homeownership, and how wealth is distributed within each generation.
Learn More on the Voronoi App
If you enjoyed today’s post, check out Wealth by Generation in the United States on Voronoi.
Ranked: The World’s Best Countries at Reading in 2026
Which countries are best at reading? See the latest PISA scores and how the world’s top education systems compare.
Published
September 20, 2026 4:52 am
Which Countries Have the Highest Reading Scores?
Key Takeaways
- Singapore leads the ranking with an average PISA reading score of 535, followed by China at 527.
- Asian education systems occupy all six of the top positions, with Taiwan, Japan, Macao, and Korea rounding out the group.
- Ireland leads Europe with a score of 500, while the United States and Canada are tied at 490.
Reading performance is declining across many OECD countries, raising concerns about how well students can interpret and evaluate information in an increasingly digital environment.
This visualization ranks 40 countries and economies by their average reading scores in the 2025 PISA assessment, with results published in September 2026.
Conducted by the OECD, PISA measures how well 15-year-olds can apply their knowledge and skills to real-world problems. The 2025 assessment included more than 760,000 students representing roughly 33 million 15-year-olds.
Asian Education Systems Lead the Ranking
Singapore ranks first globally in PISA reading. Its literacy curriculum takes a highly structured approach, combining guided reading, discussion, and targeted support for weaker readers from primary school onward.
The country’s English curriculum also emphasizes higher-order skills such as inference, evaluating arguments, identifying evidence, and critically interpreting information across different types of texts.
China, Taiwan, Japan, Macao, and Korea complete the top six, underscoring the strong showing by Asian education systems.
| Rank | Country | Average Reading PISA Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇸🇬 Singapore | 535 |
| 2 | 🇨🇳 China | 527 |
| 3 | 🇹🇼 Taiwan | 508 |
| 4 | 🇯🇵 Japan | 503 |
| 5 | 🇲🇴 Macao | 501 |
| 5 | 🇰🇷 Korea | 501 |
| 7 | 🇮🇪 Ireland | 500 |
| 8 | 🇪🇪 Estonia | 499 |
| 9 | 🇳🇿 New Zealand | 497 |
| 10 | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | 494 |
| 11 | 🇦🇺 Australia | 491 |
| 12 | 🇨🇦 Canada | 490 |
| 12 | 🇺🇸 United States | 490 |
| 14 | 🇵🇱 Poland | 482 |
| 15 | 🇭🇰 Hong Kong | 480 |
| 16 | 🇫🇮 Finland | 474 |
| 16 | 🇮🇹 Italy | 474 |
| 18 | 🇹🇷 Türkiye | 472 |
| 19 | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | 470 |
| 20 | 🇨🇿 Czechia | 468 |
| 21 | 🇦🇹 Austria | 467 |
| 22 | 🇧🇪 Belgium | 466 |
| 22 | 🇸🇪 Sweden | 466 |
| 24 | 🇩🇪 Germany | 465 |
| 25 | 🇱🇹 Lithuania | 464 |
| 26 | 🇵🇹 Portugal | 462 |
| 27 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | 460 |
| 28 | 🇫🇷 France | 456 |
| 29 | 🇭🇷 Croatia | 453 |
| 29 | 🇳🇴 Norway | 453 |
| 31 | 🇭🇺 Hungary | 452 |
| 32 | 🇪🇸 Spain | 451 |
| 33 | 🇸🇰 Slovakia | 448 |
| 34 | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | 445 |
| 35 | 🇱🇺 Luxembourg | 443 |
| 36 | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | 441 |
| 37 | 🇨🇱 Chile | 436 |
| 37 | 🇮🇱 Israel | 436 |
| 39 | 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates | 433 |
| 40 | 🇱🇻 Latvia | 430 |
Ireland Leads Europe
Ireland has the highest reading score among European countries in the dataset, at 500 points. Estonia follows closely at 499, while the United Kingdom rounds out Europe’s top three at 494.
Several major European economies sit much closer to the OECD average of 461. Germany scores 465, while France and Spain come in below the average at 456 and 451, respectively.
North America’s two entries are tied at 490. That puts both the United States and Canada behind the United Kingdom, Australia, Ireland, and Estonia, but 29 points above the OECD average.
Recent research shows that reading for pleasure is declining in the U.S., with just 16.1% of Americans ages 15 and older reading for leisure on an average day in 2025, down from 27% in 2005.
Reading Scores Are Falling
Reading performance has declined significantly across OECD countries over the past decade. Average reading scores fell from 489 points in 2015 to 461 in 2025, a 28-point drop and a steeper decline than in math or science over the same period.
The OECD notes that strong reading skills are increasingly important for finding, evaluating, interpreting, and reflecting on information in a digital environment.
It also reports that weakening reading performance predates the COVID-19 pandemic in many countries, while increased digitalization, longer screen time, and declining reading for enjoyment have coincided with weaker outcomes.
As AI makes information easier to generate and access, the ability to critically evaluate what we read may become even more important.
Learn More on the Voronoi App 
If you enjoyed today’s post, check out Countries by Education Spending as % of GDP on Voronoi.
Popular
-
China2 weeks agoRanked: The World’s Best Countries at Math in 2026
-
Countries4 weeks agoRanked: The Best and Worst Countries to Live In 2026
-
Debt1 week agoRanked: Countries With the Most Government Debt Per Person
-
Jobs4 days agoMapped: The Best Employer in Every U.S. State
-
Housing3 weeks agoRanked: 100 Global Cities by Quality of Life and Cost
-
Brands3 weeks agoRanked: Cars That Hold and Lose Their Value the Most
-
Money3 weeks agoRanked: Countries With the Highest Debt-to-GDP Ratios
-
Urbanization1 week agoRanked: The World’s Strongest City Economies by 2050